 |
| Two's company, and three is...well, even better!! |
The Channel 4 News Team is in the zone... no other way to put it. 365 points scored in the last three weeks, and an average margin of victory of 31 points! That is just supreme domination. Last year sprouts won three in a row for Weeks 6, 7 and 8, then BoomGoesTheDynamite did it in Weeks 13, 14 and 15. Timmy has done it by having superb play from quarterbacks, runningbacks and his defense, all of which are Kansas City Chiefs! (Somewhere Chief Dredd is smiling from ear-to-ear.) But perhaps the biggest key to the News Team's domination is the play of Jimmy Graham. Graham is the sixth highest scoring player in all of fantasy, having outscored every runningback, wide receiver and defense to this point. A tight end!! He is on a blistering pace, averaging 20.8 points per game, for a total of 89 points. (The highest scoring RB is a tie between LeSean McCoy and Adrian Peterson with 76 points, and the highest scoring WR is Victor Cruz with only 67 points). Keep on rolling, Tim-Tim!! Nice work!
This week there were two teams that broke the triple digit mark, yet still lost. So far this season, teams have scored over 100 points 10 times, and prior to this week none had lost. Historically speaking (going back to 2007), teams have scored over 100 points 196 times, with 25 of those coming in a losing effort. So scoring over 100 points results in a victory 87.24% of the time. Below, I've taken a look into the scoring in our league, to figure out just what it takes to win a game. Also, I get into some early playoff predictions and award the fourth different manager for best bench in as many weeks.
Let's get to this!!
BIG TIME, BILL!
-Drew Brees, QB - Coors Light Drunk Guys - 35 pts – If it wasn’t for a guy named Peyton Manning, everyone would be talking about how Drew Brees may be the best quarterback in the league. He went for 413 yards and 4 touchdowns, as the Saints moved the ball as much as they wanted Monday night. Brees trails only the aforementioned Manning for most points scored this season.
-Philip Rivers, QB - Vandelay Industries - 29 pts - The Cowboys secondary is world-renowned for their ability to get burned deep, and Rivers showed you why. He torched them for 401 yards and 3 touchdowns.
-Peyton Manning, QB - sprouts - 29 pts – This really sums up just how well Mr. Manning is playing the game of football right now: 16 touchdowns, 0 interceptions. F, ING, A.-Tony Gonzalez, TE - Butkus' Dick - 26 pts - After a ho-hum start to the season, Tony exploded for 149 yards and 2 touchdowns! Nice catch, Tony!
-Adrian Peterson, RB - Butkus' Dick - 26 pts - AP continues have a good year in spite of being on the Minnesota Vikings. He rattled off 140 yards and two touchdowns.
COME ON, MAN...
-DeSean Jackson, WR - Channel 4 News Team - 3 pts - After blowing up in Weeks 1 and 2 with 16 and 28 points, DeSean has fallen off dramatically with only 6 points last week, and now only 3.
-Chris Johnson, RB - Coors Light Drunk Guys - 3 pts – Can’t feel good as an owner of CJ to have him say this on Twitter: "Public service announcement: I can care less about fantasy football. Key word fantasy. As long as we win I'm happy. I rush for 200 n lose y'all happy. U r the head coach n the owner of ur fantasy team so u should be mad at urself I didn't ask any of u to draft me so if I'm so sorry y start me."
- Maurice Jones-Drew, RB - sprouts - 2 pts – MJD has not gotten off to a good start at all this season. He has only found the endzone one time, and has only managed 138 yards through four games. That just isn't gonna get it done.
FREE AGENT ALL-STARS
Check out the free agent team that I put together this week to just edge out Channel 4 News Team for the Weekly High Score:
QB - Ben Roethlisberger, PIT (18 pts)
RB - Roy Helu, WAS (14 pts)
RB - LeGarrette Blount, NE (12 pts)
WR - Nate Washington, TEN (22 pts)
WR - Danny Woodhead, SD (20 pts)
TE - Coby Fleener, IND (13 pts)
K - David Akers, DET (18 pts)
DEF - Indianapolis (24 pts)
Grand Total - 141 points
Not bad for a ragtag group of unwanteds...
GENERALLY THE TEAM THAT SCORES THE MOST POINTS IS GOING TO WIN THE GAME
I've gone back and analyzed the scores from all games going back to 2009 (including playoffs) in order to get a picture of what scoring looks like in our league.
Here are some highlights:
- The score that has been achieved the most times: 87 (occurred 17 times).
- The second most common scores: 88 & 79 (15 times).
- Median score: 86.5
- Highest score: 148 (2 times)
- Lowest score: 21
- Highest score in a loss: 116 (has occurred twice)
- Lowest score in a win: 53 (53 has occurred 3 times, with one of those being a victory).
- Scores that have never been defeated: 57, 96, 106, 110, 112, 114, and anything higher than 117.
- Scores that have never won: 65, 62, 61, 60, 59, 58, 55, 54, and anything lower than 53.
- There have only been 6 tie games.
- No score has had multiple tie games.
PLAYOFFS?! DON'T TALK ABOUT PLAYOFFS!
I know I promised last week that I was going to make my first round of playoff predictions this week. But, I'm actually going to hold off for one more week and make my predictions after the conclusion of next week's games. In years past I've always made it a point to start my predictions in Week 3, change it up each week, and by Week 6 I'll have predicted all teams to make it to the playoffs at least one time. Well not this year! Next week I will make a prediction of the 6 teams that I believe will make the playoffs, and I will stick with those six.
For now, I will give a bit of historical perspective on which teams have the best shot at making it into the playoffs, considering where they are at this point of the season. Of the records currently held by teams in our league, the most likely record to qualify for the playoffs is not 4-0, or 3-1 or even 2-2. Remarkably, the record of 1-3 has occurred 11 times with 9 of those teams making the playoffs, a qualifications percentage of 81.8%. (So Vandelay Industries, Joe's Pats and BoomGoesTheDynamite are all sitting pretty right now). In a very close second is 4-0, which has occurred 5 times, with 4 of those making it in, so Channel 4 News Team has an 80% chance of making it into the playoffs. The Midnight Maulers are the only team with a 3-1 record, which has happened 12 times, with 8 teams making it in (66.7%). For everyone else at 2-2, less than half of teams that start with that record actually make it into the playoffs (it has occurred 19 times with only 9 teams making it in...only a 47.4% qualification rate).The record that is the sure lock after four weeks is, get this, 1-2-1 which has happened 3 times in the past with all 3 of the teams making it in. The only sure shutout at this point is a record of 0-3-1 which has only happened once with the team not qualifying for the playoffs. No team is winless this year, but even if there was one, that wouldn't mean they weren't going to have a shot at the playoffs... 0-4 has happened five times, with one of those coming back and making it in. (That happened way back in 2007, with the team 2Fantastic).
Next week it is full-on playoff predictions!
BEST BENCH
There were not a whole lot of points left on the bench this week, and this week’s winner is actually the lowest Best Bench total of the season so far. The team that takes the title of Best Bench for Week 4 is… Joe’s Pats! Joe needed only three roster moves to improve his point total by 27 points. K. Moreno for D. McFadden (+12 pts), K. Thompkins for J. Jones (+8 pts) and Cowboys DEF for Rams DEF (+7 pts).
Get those waiver claims in, pick the weekly winners, get your line-up set, and get ready for Week 5! Four teams on byes this week…Minnesota, Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay and Washington.
No comments:
Post a Comment