Wednesday, October 5, 2011

IT'S GOOD TO BE THE KING!

What a week it was! One week after SOFA KING GOOD set a record for the highest score ever from a single team, all teams pitched in to have the highest scoring week in the history of Sacred Sundays. The prior record was 993 points set in Week 2 of 2007… this week 1,000 points were scored, mainly because five teams broke into the triple digits! Two of the teams scoring trips did so in losing efforts, the Midnight Maulers and my Scottish Rebels. Scoring over 100 points is usually going to garner a victory, but as with everything, there are exceptions. Below is a complete analysis of 100+ point scorers and how they have fared over the years.

Speaking of high scorers, big congrats to SOFA KING GOOD for claiming the Weekly High Score Prize for the second week in a row!! I really thought that I was going to get my first victory of the season, when leading by 29 points going into the Sunday Night game. But the Baltimore Defense had other plans, and demolished the Jets while racking up 2 sacks, 1 interception, 3 fumble recoveries, 3 touchdowns and only giving up 11 points. All told that netted the Ravens 35 points on the day, giving James a total of 122 points! Well done Cap’n!!

Two teams are left undefeated (Moves Like Jagger and Joe’s Pats) and two teams are left winless (Scottish Rebels and Midnight Maulers) through four weeks of the season. My money says that two of those four teams will make it to the playoffs this year… but not necessarily the undefeated’s. I’ve updated the playoff statistics to examine how things stand after four weeks of play. More on that below as well…

First, as always, the notable notes of the week:


THE WAY FOOTBALL SHOULD BE PLAYED

- Aaron Rodgers, QB – American BadAss – 48 pts – It’s hard to imagine just how good of a day Rodgers had. He threw for 408 yards, rushed for 36 yards and accounted for 6 touchdowns (4 passing, 2 rushing)!! BTW- 48 pts is 1 point shy of the record scored by a single player in a single game (Adrian Peterson and Michael Vick have both scored 49).

- Michael Vick, QB – Scottish Rebels – 32 pts – After two sub-par weeks, Vick came alive against the 49ers posting 416 yards passing with 2 TD’s and 75 yards rushing. Let’s all hope this Vick is here to stay.

- Matt Forte, RB – American BadAss – 31 pts – Forte had the second best day ever for a Chicago runner with 205 yards. He now has over 630 combined yards this year, but has only found the endzone twice.

- Beanie Wells, RB – Frito Pie – 31 pts – Forte needs to learn from Wells, who had just 138 yards on the ground, but took it to the house 3 times against the Giants!!


TRY, TRY AGAIN

- Shonn Greene, RB – Frito Pie – 2 pts – The Ravens D had Greene’s number as he only managed 23 yards on 10 carries and did not catch a pass.

- Jermichael Finley, TE – Moves Like Jagger – 2 pts – On a prolific offense like the Packers, you would think that Finley could manage more than 3 catches for just 28 yards.

- Rob Gronkowski, TE – sprouts – 1 pt – I suppose we can cut him a little slack this week considering he was scoring an average of 18.6 points per game coming into this one.


PLAYOFFS – WHO ARE THE REAL CONTENDERS?

After four weeks of play, the most common record since 2007 is 2-2. That record has happened 13 times, but only 5 of those teams made the playoffs (38.5%). The second most common record is 3-1; having occurred 9 times with 7 of those teams making it in (77.8%). The highest playoff qualification record after four weeks is 1-2-1 having occurred twice with both teams making it to the playoffs. The second highest playoff qualification record after four weeks, surprisingly, is 1-3, having occurred 8 times with 7 of those teams making it to the tournament (87.5%).

Most remarkably, in the last four years, only 2 teams have started off 4-0, and only one of those teams made it to the playoffs (50%). Same goes for an 0-4 record, having only occurred twice, with one of those teams making the playoffs. So 4-0 or 0-4, you've only got a 50% shot to make it in...

Based on this highly scientific analysis, my new playoff team predictions are: the Coors Light Drunk Guys, Moves Like Jagger, Frito Pie, SOFA KING GOOD, Lords of Lumberg and Midnight Maulers. (Next week I plan to predict American BadAss and sprouts to make the playoffs so that at the end of the season regardless of who makes it in, I will have predicted it!)


THE CENTURY CLUB

The 100-point mark is a good goal to have each week, as it normally means victory. Since 2007, in head-to-head match-ups teams have scored triple digits 114 times. In only 12 of those occasions has scoring that many points left a team on the losing side. So scoring over 100 means victory 89.5% of the time.

And just in case you are curious, the highest score for a losing team is 116 points… held by the Coors Light Drunk Guys (who lost 116-132 to Lords of Lumberg in Week 6 2009) and my Scottish Rebels (who just lost this week to SOFA KING GOOD, 116-122).


GAME PICK RECAP

Four teams picked four winners correctly this week (Moves Like Jagger, Lords of Lumberg, Coors Light Drunk Guys, and sprouts). So once again, the waiver order is the reverse order of standings. Don’t forget to pick the winners of each game to be #1 on the waiver list!!


BEST BENCH

In a record-scoring week, it makes sense that there weren’t many points left sitting on team’s benches. The Best Bench award for Week 4 was a tie between Joe’s Pats and sprouts, both of whom could have improved their point total by only 18 points with two roster moves. Joe needed E. Decker for B. Marshall (12 pts) and J. Freeman for T. Brady (6 pts), while Russ needed W. McGahee for P. Hillis (5 pts) and D. Bowe for A. Johnson (13 pts).


Bye weeks start this week so make sure your roster has players who are playing!


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