Wednesday, September 23, 2015

Double it Up!!


Fifteen times since 2007 we have had a back-to-back Weekly High Score Champion, but not since 2010 have those back-to-back weeks been to open the season!  (Lords of Lumberg is the first team that accomplished this).  Some truly outstanding performances from Larry Fitzgerald, Antonio Brown and Colin Kaepernick (all combined for 85 points) led my Scottish Rebels to accomplish that feat as well! The crazy thing is that if I had solely started those three players in my line-up this week and moved everyone else to the bench, only two teams in the league would have outscored me (Bubble Craps Bandits-93, and Joe's Pats-88). Final note before I dislocate my shoulder from patting myself on the back, my roster this week was the optimal line-up...there were no improvements to be had!  Booyah!  That is just awesome...

The record for the most Weekly High Score Prizes in a row is three held by three teams (Channel 4 News Team in 2013, sprouts in 2012, Scottish Rebels in 2007) so I will be going for a record tying game this week. If my Rebels manage to win three high scores to start the season, well, I think we can pretty much conclude that the rest of the season will simply be semantics. Haha!  Interesting matchup this week, as the only two winless teams will face off (Vandelay Industries and Midnight Maulers), so barring a tie, there will be only one winless team left after three weeks. Also there are only 3 undefeated teams left (Scottish Rebels, Coors Light Drunk Guys and Bubble Craps Bandits), so Letter 27 is kicking some ass this year!  Oh yeah!

Already in this young season there have been some roster-wrecking injuries, with Dez Bryant, Jordy Nelson, Julius Thomas, and now Tony Romo going down. The waiver wire is sure to be quite active, so make sure you get your claims in early! Also, don't forget that the team who picks the most correct wins in the weekly matchups gets moved to first in the waiver order for that week. For Week 2, I correctly picked 4 of 5 winners with the next closest only getting 3 of 5. If there is a tie between two teams picking the most correct, the waiver order will just be set as the reverse of standings.

This week we'll check in on the Browns, get an update on Team Defenses (Forecast versus Actual) and I give out some free Blackjack advice. But first, some quick observations...


BIG TIME
-Ben Roethlisberger, QB - Midnight Maulers - 33 pts – Ben has thrown for over 350 yards in each of the first two games, with 4 TD’s and only 1 int.  Not a bad way to start the season…

-Travis Benjamin, WR - Free Agent - 32 pts - What in the hey? A Cleveland Brown scores big?...this is a weird week...

-Tom Brady, QB - Bubble Craps Bandits - 31 pts - Brady has that look in his eye like he has been wronged and is looking to avenge himself. I feel sorry for any team playing against him, because he is going to score and score a lot.

-Antonio Brown, WR - Scottish Rebels - 30 pts – Big reason why Big Ben has been so good is this man.  Brown is the third highest scoring player in fantasy so far (49 pts), behind only Roethlisberger and Brady.

-Allen Robinson, WR - Midnight Maulers - 30 pts - What in the hey? A Jacksonville Jaguar scores big?...this is a weird week...

-Larry Fitzgerald, WR - Scottish Rebels - 29 pts - Never too old to have your first 3-touchdown regular season game! La-rry! La-rry! La-rry!

-Derek Carr, QB - Free Agent - 29 pts - Let's see he scored 2 points last week and now 29 points this week... extrapolate that trend out a few more weeks and he should be scoring 137 points by Week 6.

-DeAngelo Williams, RB - 26 pts - Look at this... Tom Brady, Larry Fitzgerald, DeAngelo Williams all having big weeks. Hey 2010 called...they want their players back.


COME ON MAN
-Ameer Abdullah, RB - sprouts - 1 pt - The entire Lions runningback core was just pure crap against Minnesota. The three Lions backs combined for 15 yards on 11 carries. What a drop-off from last week when Abdullah tallied a solid 17 pts.

-Coby Fleener, TE - Vandelay lndustries - 0 pts - Only one catch for 5 yards last week, and now zero catches for zero yards, and had the ball thrown to him zero times. That sucks.

-Jimmy Graham, TE - sprouts - 1 pt - Not the kind of production that Graham or any of his owners were expecting.  Twelve points through 2 weeks places him as the 17th ranked tight end.

-Dan Carpenter, K - sprouts - 1 pt - Three 1-point players for sprouts this week... dang!

-Miami, DEF - SofaKinglucky - 1 pt - The Dolphins' lone point came from the fact that they gave up fewer than 28 points, only allowing 23.

-Keenan Allen, WR - American BadAss - -(minus)1 pt - Lots of negativity this week... Allen started the game this week by fumbling a punt and it got no better from there. He ended up only catching 2 balls for 16 yards.

-Jeremy Hill, RB - Coors Light Drunk Guys - -(minus)1 pt - He got benched after a fumble and never saw the field again. Hard to score any points that way.

-Baltimore, DEF - American BadAss - -(minus)1 pt - Baltimore managed to record one sack and get one interception. Oh but they gave up 37 points...Tough week for defenses apparently...

-San Francisco, DEF - Midnight Maulers - -(minus)3 pts - Not to be outdone by Hill's, Allen’s and Baltimore’s –(minus)1 point games, the Niners tripled that with their performance against the Steelers. They allowed 43 points, had no sacks, no interceptions, no fumble recoveries, no blocked kicks and only 69 return yards. Brutal...


WHAT CAN BROWN DO FOR YOU?
Apparently quite a lot this week.  Check out the All-Browns starting line-up this week:
QB Johnny Manziel Cle - QB 14
RB Isaiah Crowell Cle - RB 13
RB Duke Johnson Jr. Cle - RB 4
WR Travis Benjamin Cle - WR 32
WR Andrew Hawkins Cle - WR 4
TE Gary Barnidge Cle - TE 1
K Travis Coons Cle - K 4
DEF Cleveland Cle - DEF 23
Total 95
That line-up would have defeated 9 out of 10 teams in our league this week.  Way to go Browns!!  Maybe you don’t suck so bad after all…


WINNER OF VOWEL TO CONSONANT RATIO
Undrafted rookie linebacker for the New York Giants, "Uani Unga".  Vowel to consonant ratio of 5:3.


DEFENSES – FORECAST vs. ACTUAL
Through two weeks it should start to become evident which team defenses are looking good and which are looking bad.  Here is the list of the Top 10 Defenses as ranked by Yahoo! the day before the season started and how they fared in Week 2:
OVERALL
Rank Defense/Special Teams Week 2 RANK
1 Seattle Sea - DEF Rk #16 - 6 pts     3
2 Buffalo Buf - DEF Rk #26 - 3 pts   19
3 Houston Hou - DEF Rk #13 - 7 pts   25
4 Philadelphia Phi - DEF Rk #11 - 8 pts   27
5 St. Louis StL - DEF Rk #22 - 4 pts   10
6 Arizona Ari - DEF Rk #3 - 20 pts   4
7 New England NE - DEF Rk #7 - 13 pts   12
8 Baltimore Bal - DEF Rk #31 - -1 pts   17
9 Green Bay GB - DEF Rk #13 - 7 pts   18
10 Kansas City KC - DEF Rk #9 - 11 pts   7
This is actually really remarkable.  The 2nd ranked Buffalo Bills have done no better than 9 points in a week and are currently the 19th ranked defense overall, but even worse are Houston and Philly, the 3rd and 4th ranked defenses in the preseason that are currently the 25th and 27th ranked defenses.  That is not even close!
And in case you are wondering, the current top defense is the Denver Broncos who were ranked 17th in the preseason and the second ranked defense is the New York Jets who were ranked 29th in the preseason.  I guess they are a little better than expected…


WEEKLY BLACKJACK TIP
One of the most common rules you hear about Blackjack is "Always split your aces and eights." As with anything that has an "always" attached to it, this is generally bad advice. Suppose you are dealt 8-8 and the dealer is showing a Jack. You follow the "Always split" rule, so you split your 8's and get two 10's (the ideal outcome) and now both of your hands total 18.  The dealer turns over their hole card to show a King, so you lose both hands, which is twice as much as your original bet.
The better play is to simply play the hand as a 16 and surrender. By surrendering, you get half of your bet back, so instead of being down 2 units, you are only down 0.5 units. That there is a massive savings over the long term.


BEST BENCH
Last week we had a double best bench award handed out, but this week one team stands alone with the title.  The winner of this week’s Best Bench squeaked out a 1-point victory, while leaving 45 points planted on his bench, and that team is… American BadAss!  Jason needed four roster moves to make it happen: Broncos for Ravens (+22 pts), J. Matthews for K. Allen (+15 pts), I. Crowell for J. Forsett (+6 pts) and T.J. Yeldon for J. Randle (+2 pts).


We are really cooking with gas now!  Get your rosters ready for Week 3!!


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